Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.001078 0.001163 0.001254 0.001358 0.001475 0.001601 0.001751
2025-12-07 0.000941 0.001052 0.001176 0.001327 0.001505 0.001713 0.001974
2025-12-14 0.000859 0.000984 0.001129 0.001312 0.001538 0.001814 0.002181
2025-12-21 0.000789 0.000920 0.001077 0.001281 0.001542 0.001872 0.002333
2025-12-28 0.000710 0.000839 0.000996 0.001204 0.001478 0.001835 0.002349
2026-01-04 0.000655 0.000784 0.000943 0.001157 0.001446 0.001832 0.002408
2026-01-11 0.000621 0.000751 0.000915 0.001140 0.001451 0.001879 0.002538
2026-01-18 0.000595 0.000728 0.000897 0.001134 0.001469 0.001942 0.002697
2026-01-25 0.000649 0.000811 0.001023 0.001333 0.001791 0.002475 0.003649
2026-02-01 0.000609 0.000766 0.000974 0.001282 0.001743 0.002446 0.003685
2026-02-08 0.000577 0.000730 0.000936 0.001244 0.001714 0.002443 0.003763
2026-02-15 0.000555 0.000709 0.000917 0.001232 0.001720 0.002497 0.003947
2026-02-22 0.000533 0.000686 0.000898 0.001225 0.001744 0.002596 0.004254
2026-03-01 0.000506 0.000657 0.000868 0.001199 0.001736 0.002641 0.004472
2026-03-08 0.000485 0.000635 0.000847 0.001186 0.001747 0.002719 0.004769
2026-03-15 0.000462 0.000609 0.000819 0.001159 0.001732 0.002748 0.004969
2026-03-22 0.000430 0.000569 0.000768 0.001093 0.001644 0.002634 0.004836
2026-03-29 0.000407 0.000541 0.000734 0.001051 0.001597 0.002592 0.004860
2026-04-05 0.000392 0.000524 0.000717 0.001037 0.001595 0.002637 0.005094
2026-04-12 0.000381 0.000512 0.000706 0.001031 0.001610 0.002715 0.005422
2026-04-19 0.000412 0.000565 0.000798 0.001205 0.001971 0.003558 0.007996
2026-04-26 0.000392 0.000539 0.000764 0.001160 0.001911 0.003488 0.007995
2026-05-03 0.000376 0.000519 0.000738 0.001127 0.001874 0.003464 0.008133